Geopolitical outcomes and global affairs forecasting
AMP Predict's world events category features virtual YES/NO markets on geopolitics, diplomacy, conflicts, and international summits. Every market settles in virtual TK¢ tokens with no real money at any stage.
Geopolitics
State-level actions, alliances, and shifts in international power.
Diplomacy & summits
Outcomes of major diplomatic meetings, treaties, and multilateral talks.
Conflicts & resolutions
Timelines and outcomes of ongoing global conflicts, tracked from public sources.
Live Geopolitical outcomes and global affairs forecasting markets
California superintendent of schools after 2026 election
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Which of the Manifold rated Lean D senate races will Democrats win?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Which of the Manifold rated Lean and Likely R senate races will Republicans win?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
SPX December 17 calls: which settlement levels will be exceeded?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Leeds United vs Manchester United, Oct 18
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Connecticut's 1st District?
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, Oct 25
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢