Everything you need to understand event forecasting
This is the AMP Predict learning hub. Read short guides on prediction market mechanics, YES/NO event contracts, implied probability, and how to build calibrated forecasting habits using a mock (virtual-token) prediction market.
What Is a Prediction Market?
A prediction market is a binary contract whose price reflects the crowd's probability estimate of a future event. Learn how they work, why they aggregate information better than polls, and how AMP Predict makes the mechanics risk-free.
Read articleWhat Is a Mock Prediction Market?
A mock prediction market like AMP Predict uses virtual tokens instead of real money. Learn what mock markets are, why they exist, and how they compare to real-money platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Read articleHow YES / NO Event Contracts Work
YES/NO event contracts pay 100¢ if the event resolves YES, 0 otherwise. Learn how pricing, orderbooks, order types, and settlement work on AMP Predict — all with virtual TK¢ tokens.
Read articleHow Implied Probability Works
A YES contract trading at 65¢ implies a 65% probability of the event happening. Learn implied probability, calibration, and how to spot mispriced markets on AMP Predict.
Read articlePractice Forecasting Risk-Free
You can build calibrated forecasting habits using virtual TK¢ tokens on AMP Predict — no financial risk, no gambling. Here's a step-by-step guide.
Read article