Sharpen your prediction skills without spending a dollar

Last updated: 2026-07-01

AMP Predict is a mock prediction market simulator that lets anyone practice event forecasting using virtual TK¢ tokens. There is no real money at any stage — you can build calibrated forecasting habits, track your accuracy, and learn probabilistic thinking risk-free.

Step 1: Sign up and get a starter balance

Create a free AMP Predict account with Google, Apple, or email. New users receive a virtual TK¢ starter balance instantly. No credit card, no KYC, no financial commitment.

Step 2: Start with markets you already know

Browse categories you're familiar with — an NFL team you follow, a tech product launch you've been tracking, a policy vote in the news. Read the resolution criteria carefully, then form your own estimate before looking at the market price.

Step 3: Trade small at first

Start with 5–10 TK¢ per position across many markets rather than large positions in a few. Diversification is the fastest way to see many outcomes and improve your calibration without over-anchoring on any single result.

Step 4: Journal your reasoning

When you place an order, write down (mentally or in a notebook) why you think the market is mispriced and what evidence would make you change your mind. When the market settles, look back — were you right for the right reasons or right by luck?

Step 5: Track your calibration over time

The AMP Predict leaderboard tracks accuracy across dozens of resolved markets. Aim to make your 60% predictions come true 60% of the time, your 80% predictions 80% of the time, etc. That's calibration — the single most valuable skill a forecaster can develop.

Why this beats reading about forecasting

You can read books on probability all day, but the fastest way to actually get better is to make many predictions, get feedback, and iterate. AMP Predict compresses that loop into hundreds of trades without any of the financial risk.

Mock Predictions

Sharpen your prediction skills without spending a dollar

Updated July 1, 20261 min readLearn hub

AMP Predict is a mock prediction market simulator that lets anyone practice event forecasting using virtual TK¢ tokens. There is no real money at any stage — you can build calibrated forecasting habits, track your accuracy, and learn probabilistic thinking risk-free.

Step 1: Sign up and get a starter balance

Create a free AMP Predict account with Google, Apple, or email. New users receive a virtual TK¢ starter balance instantly. No credit card, no KYC, no financial commitment.

Step 2: Start with markets you already know

Browse categories you're familiar with — an NFL team you follow, a tech product launch you've been tracking, a policy vote in the news. Read the resolution criteria carefully, then form your own estimate before looking at the market price.

Step 3: Trade small at first

Start with 5–10 TK¢ per position across many markets rather than large positions in a few. Diversification is the fastest way to see many outcomes and improve your calibration without over-anchoring on any single result.

Step 4: Journal your reasoning

When you place an order, write down (mentally or in a notebook) why you think the market is mispriced and what evidence would make you change your mind. When the market settles, look back — were you right for the right reasons or right by luck?

Step 5: Track your calibration over time

The AMP Predict leaderboard tracks accuracy across dozens of resolved markets. Aim to make your 60% predictions come true 60% of the time, your 80% predictions 80% of the time, etc. That's calibration — the single most valuable skill a forecaster can develop.

Why this beats reading about forecasting

You can read books on probability all day, but the fastest way to actually get better is to make many predictions, get feedback, and iterate. AMP Predict compresses that loop into hundreds of trades without any of the financial risk.

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